polymarket
Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026?
Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026?
Probability history
| Date | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | 53% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 54% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 55% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 53% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 55% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 54% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 53% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 21% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 20% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 19% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 19% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 16% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 17% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 16% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 49% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 48% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 48% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 49% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 49% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 49% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 49% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 49% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $50 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 50% | $50 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 51% | $50 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 57% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 54% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 47% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 55% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 45% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 47% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 45% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 47% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 46% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 48% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 47% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 54% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 52% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 53% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 49% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 54% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 59% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 44% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 53% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 52% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 46% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 55% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 54% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 60% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| May 31, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 59% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 56% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 57% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 56% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 56% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 55% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 54% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 53% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 51% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 55% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 52% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 52% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 52% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 50% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 53% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 53% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 53% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 44% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 52% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 52% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 52% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 53% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 39% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 33% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 37% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 30, 2026 | 41% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 36% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 41% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 41% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 41% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 36% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 39% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 41% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 34% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 38% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 41% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 33% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 33% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 37% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 36% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 33% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 40% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 39% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 45% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 45% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 45% | $30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 45% | $30 |
| May 28, 2026 | 41% | $10k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $10k |
| May 28, 2026 | 38% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 42% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 40% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 41% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 48% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 44% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 41% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 43% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 41% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 47% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $9k |
| May 28, 2026 | 43% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 42% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 48% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 44% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 48% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 47% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 42% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 42% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 48% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 44% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 28, 2026 | 42% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 47% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 42% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 44% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 43% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 42% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 43% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 46% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 43% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 48% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 45% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $8k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $7k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $7k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $7k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $7k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $7k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $7k |
| May 27, 2026 | 56% | $7k |
| May 27, 2026 | 59% | $7k |
| May 27, 2026 | 61% | $6k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 61% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 56% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 61% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 56% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $5k |
| May 27, 2026 | 57% | $5k |
| May 26, 2026 | 57% | $5k |
| May 26, 2026 | 57% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 57% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 57% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 57% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 56% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 56% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 57% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 57% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 56% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 56% | $4k |
| May 26, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 56% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 56% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 26, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 25, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 25, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 25, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 25, 2026 | 54% | $3k |
| May 25, 2026 | 55% | $3k |
| May 25, 2026 | 58% | $3k |
| May 25, 2026 | 55% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 55% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 54% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 53% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 53% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 53% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 53% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 53% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 53% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 53% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 25, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 51% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 51% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 51% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 24, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $2k |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 51% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $40.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $15.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 51% | $15.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $15.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $15.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 51% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 51% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 51% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 57% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 57% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 56% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 57% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 59% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 56% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 56% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 56% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 56% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 57% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 51% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 23, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 22, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 22, 2026 | 50% | $10.20405 |
| May 22, 2026 | 52% | $10.20405 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $10.20405 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $10.20405 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $0 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $0 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $0 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $0 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $0 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $0 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $0 |
| May 22, 2026 | 51% | $0 |
| May 22, 2026 | 50% | $0 |
⚠ Prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced beliefs and may diverge from official assessments. OutbreakWatch is not affiliated with polymarket. Probabilities are not investment advice.