Ebola markets
← back to EbolaCrowd-sourced probabilities on ebola-related questions from prediction markets. Total volume: $713k.
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
7.5%
$416k volume
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
19.5%
$232k volume
Will Nigeria have an Ebola case in 2026?
56.5%
$14k volume
Will Somalia have an Ebola case in 2026?
53.0%
$14k volume
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
36.0%
$4k volume
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
24.5%
$4k volume
Will Uganda have an Ebola case in 2026?
100.0%
$2k volume
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?
25.0%
$2k volume
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?
43.5%
$1k volume
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?
63.0%
$0k volume
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?
52.0%
$0k volume
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?
56.5%
$0k volume
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?
56.0%
$0k volume
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?
45.0%
$0k volume
Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026?
52.5%
$0k volume
✓ Resolved YES Ebola emergency by June 30?
YES
$23k volume
What are prediction markets?
Prediction markets let participants buy and sell shares in YES/NO outcomes. Aggregated trading produces a probability estimate. OutbreakWatch aggregates publicly available data from Polymarket — not investment advice.